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This document presents projections on the fiscal expenditure associated with Colpensiones and the special regimes that make up Colombia's pension system under the rules in force in 2024. Under conventional assumptions about longevity, formality, and a long-run economic growth rate of 3.3%, public…
AbstractForeign portfolio investments can affect the Colombian exchange market mainly through the demand for hedging that investors make in the foreign exchange derivatives market, and the exchange of dollars for pesos that materializes when investing in public debt securities (TES). This…
Abstract This study follows a novel approach proposed by Angelico et al. (2022) using Twitter to measure inflation perception in Colombia in real time. By applying machine learning techniques, we implement two real-time indicators of inflation perception and show that both exhibit a…
Abstract This paper examines the evolution of women's participation in the labor market from 1960 to 2018, shedding light on the complex factors that influence their labor opportunities. The study  emphasizes the significance of the historical context in  understanding these…
Abstract Although greenhouse gas emissions from the Latin America (LAC) region are not particularly significant, climate change is a worldwide challenge. Hence, we analyze the main factors that increase and mitigate emissions in LAC countries by emphasising the importance of preserving and…
AbstractThe objective of the study is to model and determine the tax incidence of a reduction in the corporate income tax in Colombia. To meet this objective, a dynamic and stochastic general equilibrium model DSGE of a closed economy with heterogeneous households and two types of capital…
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors. 
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors. 
Economic activity nowcasting (i.e. making current-period estimates) is convenient because most traditional measures of economic activity come with substantial lags. We aim at nowcasting ISE, a short-term economic activity indicator in Colombia. Inputs are ISE’s lags and a dataset of payments made…
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors. 
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors. 
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors. 
The recent drop in the country’s terms of trade had a significant impact on economic growth. This section looks at what would happen to long-term sustainable growth if that decline were to be permanent. This is particularly important when considering the Board of Directors…
Armenia Barranquilla
Since: 2000
Evidence of the causal long-term relationship between budget deficit, money growth and inflation in Colombia is analyzed in this paper, considering the standard (M1), the narrowest (M0-Base) and the broadest (M3) definitions of money supply. Using a vector error correction (VEC) model with…
The reports of the Investment Budget and Operating Budget of Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia) presented in this section correspond to the Board of Directors’ approvals as of year 2015.The Investment Budget includes the estimate of the resources necessary for the acquisition and…
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 At a request from the Ministry of Finance, Banco de la República last year carried out an investigation into the feasibility to use parts of the foreign reserves to buy back some of Colombia’s outstanding sovereign U.S.-dollar debt.  This project resulted in two thorough technical…
The Banco de la República (Central Bank of Colombia) invites the academic community to submit papers for possible publication in the book titled “Equitable, Competitive and Sustainable Development of Agriculture in Colombia”. This publication aims to publish a set of articles that contribute to our…
Banco de la República invites students in their final semesters of professional programs to participate in this call for applications, which offers internships in 9 cities across the country and 29 different degree programs.  
     
Abstract We bring together the largest meta-analysis ever conducted in the macroeconomic literature to investigate the effects of central bank credibility on monetary policy. With nearly 1,200 surveyed effects, we first confirm that: (i) conventional policy significantly affects inflation and…