After the 2008 fnancial crisis, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) drove the benchmark interest rate to historically low levels that became more pronounced in the wake of the covid-19 pandemic. At the same time, starting in March 2020 several measures to provide the market with liquidity were…
Bogotá, Colombia
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During 2022, Colombian companies that resorted to international fnancing sources faced interest rate increases and a sharp depreciation of the peso against the dollar (21%). This may have important implications for the balance sheets of real sector companies with a negative exchange rate…
- Publicación |Healthcare expenditure in Colombia is expected to increase by 35% over the next eight years, due to population aging, rising costs, and domestic policies. These trends, in a context of high levels of informality and affiliation to the subsidized regime, add significant pressure to public finances.
- Publicación |This paper examines the relationship between three government support measures (debt moratorium, credit guarantee programs, and payroll subsidies) and the firm’s payment behavior on loans in Colombia
- Publicación |We evaluate the effectiveness of consumer debt moratoria, one of the earliest policy interventions aimed at alleviating debt burdens. Using administrative data from Colombia, our study compares households that narrowly qualified for the moratorium (eligible up to 60 days overdue on their mortgages…
- Publicación |Using monthly information on retail trade, we study the short-term dynamics of household consumption variations in Colombia. Based on a sample of retail trade excluding fuels and vehicles, we find that the growth of household consumption can be explained by lags in the Economy Monitoring Indicator…
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After a protracted period of financial deepening following a financial crisis at the end of the 20th century, the ratio of corporate bank loans to GDP in Colombia stagnated between 2016 and 2019. In this paper, we explore if firms have substituted bank loans…
- Publicación |This paper empirically examines the effects of international remittances on local house prices. International remittances are one of the main drivers of capital inflows in emerging economies. We consider the salient case of Colombia.
- Publicación |I. Performance of Credit Institutions (CIs)Credit institutions in Colombia have adequate capital and liquidity levels to face the materialization of risks at both the individual and consolidated levels.In line with the macroeconomic adjustment, credit growth continued to exhibit negative real rates…
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International Macroeconomic Environment
- Publicación |This document describes the Colombian healthcare system and its main responsibilities, highlighting the roles of insurance and financing, and compares it with other healthcare systems globally.
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Annual inflation has been decreasing for a year and is projected to continue, with inflation at 5.5% in December and the 3% target to be reached in 2025.
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In 2023, the Colombian economy experienced a slowdown in economic activity, registering annual growth of 0.6% after the historical highs experienced in 2021 and 2022. This same year, inflation began to converge to the target, reaching 9.3 % at yearend amid a backdrop of a weakening in domestic…
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Transportation services play a critical role across all sectors of the economy by facilitating the movement of goods and services at all production levels. Although not all goods produced in a country require transportation due to inventory accumulation in industries and businesses or because…
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In compliance with Article 5, Act of Congress 31/1992, the Board of Directors of Banco de la República hereby submits to the Congress of the Republic of Colombia their Report to Congress on the macroeconomic results for the fi rst half of 2022 and the outlook for what remains of the year for its…
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Investment, a crucial driver of a country’s economic growth, is intricately linked with increased productive capacity and infrastructure. After a notable upturn in certain investment components in 2021 and 2022, Colombia experienced a significant investment decline in the past year. High levels…
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Banco de la República is celebrating its 100th anniversary in 2023. This is a very significant anniversary and one that provides an opportunity to highlight the contribution the Bank has made to the country’s development. Its track record as guarantor of monetary stability has…
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This document presents projections on the fiscal expenditure associated with Colpensiones and the special regimes that make up Colombia's pension system under the rules in force in 2024. Under conventional assumptions about longevity, formality, and a long-run…
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Inflation indicators remain above the target of most central banks despite continuing to show a decline in most countries.
- Publicación |Models with an occasionally binding credit constraint have been used to analyze financial crises and previous literature has highlighted that the specific form of this constraint is decisive for policymaking conclusions.
