In compliance with Article 5, Act of Congress 31/1992, the Board of Directors of Banco de la República hereby submits to the Congress of the Republic of Colombia their Report to Congress on the macroeconomic results for the fi rst half of 2022 and the outlook for what remains of the year for its…
Bogotá, Colombia
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- Publicación |Introduction
Banco de la República is celebrating its 100th anniversary in 2023. This is a very significant anniversary and one that provides an opportunity to highlight the contribution the Bank has made to the country’s development. Its track record as guarantor of monetary stability has…
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This document presents projections on the fiscal expenditure associated with Colpensiones and the special regimes that make up Colombia's pension system under the rules in force in 2024. Under conventional assumptions about longevity, formality, and a long-run…
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Inflation indicators remain above the target of most central banks despite continuing to show a decline in most countries.
- Publicación |Models with an occasionally binding credit constraint have been used to analyze financial crises and previous literature has highlighted that the specific form of this constraint is decisive for policymaking conclusions.
- Publicación |Identifying the impact of physicians on health outcomes is a challenging task due to the nonrandom sorting between physicians, hospitals, and patients. We overcome this challenge by exploiting a Colombian government program that randomly assigned 2,126 physicians to 618 small hospitals.
- Publicación |Saving-Investment Flows for the fourth quarter of 20231. By institutional sector
According to the financial accounts calculated by Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia), in the fourth quarter of 2023, the current account deficit of the Colombian economy reached 1.6% of quarterly…
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Inflation continues to decline but remains well above 3%. It is anticipated to decrease significantly in 2024 and draw closer to the established target in the first half of 2025.
- Publicación |Nuestros resultados muestran que la existencia de subsidios implícitos ocasiona que los individuos prefieran estar en el actual sistema privado mientras se cotiza, pero en el público para pensionarse.
- Publicación |Gran parte de la población carece de las herramientas fundamentales para tomar decisiones económicas y financieras adecuadas, lo cual es crucial para mejorar su bienestar y protegerse frente a choques económicos o inflacionarios.
- Publicación |El efecto del fenómeno El Niño sobre los precios minoristas corre a través de su efecto sobre los costos mayoristas, exclusivamente, y no a través de cambios en la estructura del mercado minorista.
- Publicación |Approach
Fiscal rules, also known as fiscal responsibility norms, refer to restrictive measures of fiscal policy at either the national or subnational level, through which the sustainability of public finances is sought to be guaranteed. These rules can be quantitative (those…
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Despite significant declines in 2023, inflation indicators remain above the target of most central banks.
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In the third quarter, the Bogotá region (Bogotá and Cundinamarca) continued to show a low performance in the annual comparative due to the weakening of domestic demand, persistent inflation, and high financial costs. Industry and commerce contracted due to the high annual comparison basis, the…
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We examine the adjustment of a small, open, emerging market economy (SOEME) to an unexpected increase in the minimum wage using an extended New-Keynesian SOE model that incorporates heterogeneous households, a flexible production structure, and a minimum wage rule.…
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We investigate the entry and exit of short-cycle higher education programs (SCPs), which last two or three years and can address local skill needs. Exploiting administrative data from Colombia, we study markets defined by geographic location and field of…
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We study the behaviour of three quantitative sample surveys and a non sample inflation expectation report for Colombia. We found that expectations in Colombia; (i) are not strongly, i.e.
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We study the effect of macroeconomic announcements surprises on Colombian treasury bond spot rates in the medium term. For this, we employ a two-step regression approach proposed by Altavilla, Giannone and Modugno (2017), which takes into account the high frequency…
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The objective of the study is to model and determine the tax incidence of a reduction in the corporate income tax in Colombia. To meet this objective, a dynamic and stochastic general equilibrium model DSGE of a closed economy with heterogeneous households and two…
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Foreign portfolio investments can affect the Colombian exchange market mainly through the demand for hedging that investors make in the foreign exchange derivatives market, and the exchange of dollars for pesos that materializes when investing in public debt…






















