Working Papers on Economics
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- Publicación |Este documento evalúa el Proyecto de Acto Legislativo aprobado en su sexto debate, el cual busca aumentar los recursos transferidos a las regiones a través del Sistema General de Participaciones (SGP). Desde una perspectiva histórica, el sistema de transferencias a los territorios se fortaleció con…
- Publicación |Abstract
The housing sector is one of the most relevant in terms of economic and financial stability. Understanding its behavior can prevent bubbles and busts in the economy. There are many studies about the corporate bond’s spreads, but the studies about mortgage…
- Publicación |The disruption in container freight rates caused a 0.4% loss in welfare in Colombia. This percentage represents a decrease in the present value of the population's consumption due to the drop in real wages and is attributable solely to the direct effects of freight rates on the goods that Colombia…
- Publicación |Forecast evaluation measures support the implementation of this method, and the results show a reduction in the error of inflation forecasts across various time horizons.
- Publicación |The analysis shows how the demand for cash and checks from 1923 to 2023 was shaped by economic activity, inflation dynamics, the development of the financial system, technological innovation, and significant historical shocks such as wars, political instability, or the Covid-19 pandemic.
- Publicación |For 2017, it was found that most imports were destined for intermediate consumption, especially for the manufacturing and trade sectors, and that these sectors, therefore, may be the most affected by changes in non-tariff measures and the value of imported goods.
- Publicación |The results are relevant for future discussions on climate policies, as they indicate that carbon taxes will be effective but probably more regressive than previously thought.
- Publicación |The increase in stranded asset risk, as implied by the Paris Agreement, correlates with a 46% decrease in bank credit to fossil fuel companies relative to other economic sectors.
- Publicación |Abstract
The design of mechanisms for sustainable irrigation water management requires a deep understanding of the value of water to local communities. We present results from a lab-in-the-field incentivized game that sheds light on irrigation water overvaluation patterns among…
- Publicación |The findings show that the output gap in Colombia fell by 20% in the second quarter of 2020 due to the pandemic, but it recovered quickly, unlike previous crises.
- Publicación |Nowcasting inflation is not only considered an alternative measure of observed inflation, but also a predictor, which allows for constructing inflation forecasts with better performance
- Publicación |A 1% decrease in payroll costs would increase employment in the formal sector by between 0.5% and 0.9%. This implication is specific to the Colombian context, where the minimum wage is binding for a large portion of formal sector workers, making it likely that formal labor demand drives these…
- Publicación |Climate shocks negatively affect productivity. This is due to the health problems they cause and the damage to road infrastructure, aspects that ultimately affect the economy in general and firms in particular.
- Publicación |Abstract
We estimate the effects of annual temperature and precipitation on rice yields in Colombia from 1987 to 2016. The analysis explores the degree of variation in response to climate changes across the country’s diverse topography. Since there are two growing seasons in…
- Publicación |The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mental health underscores the need for early intervention strategies, especially for vulnerable groups such as young people, the elderly, and women, to mitigate the increase in mental and behavioral disorders in Colombia.
- Publicación |Gender gaps in academic performance limit educational and professional opportunities for women, perpetuating social and economic inequalities. It is crucial to implement inclusive and targeted public policies that reduce these disparities and promote greater opportunities for women in the future.
- Publicación |Access to formal credit has a positive relationship with the growth and formalization of microbusinesses. Those led by women are associated with higher probabilities of formalization and better growth indicators when accessing formal credit, compared to those led by men.
- Publicación |Natural disasters affect both the level and volatility of sovereign risk premiums in emerging economies, whereas stock market only experience changes in volatility.
- Publicación |The necessary effort to stabilize inflation is greater when credibility is low, requiring the implementation of stricter policies than usual to achieve the same inflation targets.
- Publicación |Abstract
This paper studies the dynamics of farm size distribution, how they are in uenced by weather shocks, and the implications for aggregate productivity. Using data from several developing countries, we first document new empirical facts about households' …
