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In this paper, we propose an alternative methodology to determine the existence of credit booms, which is a complex and crucial issue for policymakers. In particular, we exploit the Mendoza and Terrones (2008)’s idea that macroeconomic aggregates other than the credit growth rate contain valuable…
We study the relationship between US and Colombian sovereign debt interest rates. We also evaluate the response of the Colombian long-term bond yield and other asset prices to shocks to the US long-term Treasury rate. Two empirical exercises are performed. First, we use a moving window linear…
This paper examines the relationship between mortgage default decisions and relevant observable variables under the light of a random utility model. The focus of the study is the Colombian mortgage market between 1997 and 2004 using two separate data sets that are matched using simulation…
An Estimation Of the Nonlinear Phillips Curve in Colombia An Estimation Of the Neonlinear Phillips Curve in Colombia Javier Gómez and Juan Manuel Julio  */
Graph 1 shows a conventional PPP measure of the real exchange rate in Colombia and an index of the relative price of tradable goods in terms of non tradeable. The common conclusion is that, since 1990-92 there has been a medium term process by which the RER has appreciated by as much as 26%. The…
We set a dynamic stochastic model for the interbank daily market for funds in Colombia. The framework features exogenous reserve requirements and requirement period, competitive trading among heterogeneous commercial banks, daily open market operations held by the Central Bank (auctions and window…
In this paper we study the structural determinants of differentials in unemployment rates and labour markets’ performance for colombian cities.
This paper presents two versions of a spatial competition model for the banking sector. The first version, describes a framework that follows closely Salop´s spatial competition model. This version is modified in the second part by introducing the loan market and default risk probabilities for…
This document presents how to estimate and implement a structural VAR-X model under long run and impact identification restrictions. Estimation by bayesian and maximum likelihood methods is presented. Applications of the structural VAR-X for impulse response functions to structural shocks,…
Some authors have worked on the relationship between macroeconomic variables and the term structure of interest rates. In particular, theory says that the shape of the curve reveals valuable insights regarding the behavior of the macro variables such as inflation and growth expectations.…
He has been Chief Officer for Monetary Operations and International Investments since July 2022. This area is responsible for supporting the design and implementation of the monetary, foreign exchange, and credit policy of Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia). He has a degree in…
Ángela María, Currently Chief Officer for Cultural Affairs of Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia), responsible for 29 cultural centers throughout the country including libraries and museums. She was Professor of Latin American Literature for 10 years at Brandeis University, where…
Presentación realizada en el Seminario Anif – Fedesarrollo, Club El Nogal.
Central banks in emerging countries frequently build-up (diminish) reserves while attempting to depreciate (appreciate) their domestic currencies. Even if these interventions are effective, they often entail various costs. Basu (2012), nonetheless, proposes a model in which the sole announcement of…
Abstract We introduce a methodology for generating alerts of potential anti-competitive practices in the Colombian wholesale electricity market.
See additional information in  "Banco de la República transforms its Communication Scheme for Monetary Policy Decisions"
See additional information in  "The Board of Directors of Banco de la República notifies updates to some of its calendar of monthly meetings and monetary policy announcements"
See additional information in  "The Board of Directors of Banco de la República notifies updates to some of its calendar of monthly meetings and monetary policy announcements"
Capital controls and intervention in the foreign exchange market are two controversial policy options that many countries have adopted in the past in order to influence the exchange rate and moderate capital flows. Colombia has a long record in the use of these policies with mixed results and often…
This paper analyzes the link between young people's sense (locus) of control over their lives and their investments in education. We find that young people with a more internal locus of control have a higher probability of finishing secondary school and, conditional on completion, meeting the…
The focus of this study is to build, from the ‘bottom-up’, a market with artificially intelligent adaptive agents based on the institutional arrangement of the Colombian Foreign Exchange Market (1994-1999) in order to determine simple agents’ design, rules and interactions that are sufficient to…
According to Large (2005)2 , there are at least three things central banks must do to encourage financial stability. They first must assess the threats to the financial system. Secondly, they must monitor stability of the payment system and take actions to reduce any risk on this front. Finally, as…
The assessment of inflationary pressures in Colombia has faced two important challenges in the present decade. The first one occurred in 2006 and consisted of detecting an overheating economy in the midst of fast growing investment and increasing measured productivity. The second challenge took…
International reserves are very important for emerging economies, as they allow to buffer possible liquidity vulnerabilities within a countries' balance of payments. Consequently, the issue of how many reserves should each country hold is a relevant issue for economic policy. The literature has…