Office for Monetary Policy and Economic Information

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  • Publicación |

    Los datos de la Gran encuesta integrada de hogares (GEIH) indican que, tras un periodo de contracción a fínales del año 2023, el empleo creció en todos los dominios geográficos. Este comportamiento es explicado, en particular, por el mejor desempeño de la ocupación en las otras cabeceras y el…

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    In the third quarter, headline inflation continued to decrease and is expected to continue doing so gradually to reach 3.0% by the end of 2025.

  • Publicación |
    Saving-investment flows for the second quarter of 20241. By institutional sector

    According to the financial accounts calculated by Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia, Banrep), in the second quarter of 2024, the current account deficit of the Colombian economy reached 1.0% of…

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    During the second quarter, headline inflation remained stable, while core inflation continued to fall. Inflation would continue its measured downward path to meet its 3.0% target by the end of 2025.

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    Annual inflation has been decreasing for a year and is projected to continue, with inflation at 5.5% in December and the 3% target to be reached in 2025.

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    Inflation continues to decline but remains well above 3%. It is anticipated to decrease significantly in 2024 and draw closer to the established target in the first half of 2025.

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    Inflation has decreased since April, and it is projected to continue to reduce significantly throughout 2024 as it converges toward 3%.

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    As foreseen in the April Report, inflation began to fall in the second quarter of 2023. It is expected to continue declining in the following quarters and return near the 3% target by the end of 2024.

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    Inflation would peak in March and start to gradually decline as of the second quarter of 2023, bringing inflation back to the 3% target over the next two years.

  • Publicación |
    1. Macroeconomic Summary

    In December, headline inflation (13.1%) and the average of the core inflation measures (10.3%) continued to trend upward, posting higher rates than those estimated by the Central Bank's technical staff and surpassing the market average. Inflation expectations…

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    1.1 Macroeconomic summary

    In September, headline inflation (11.4% annually) and the average of core inflation indicators (8.6% annually) continued on a rising trend, and higher increases than expected were recorded. Forecasts increased again, and inflation expectations remained above 3…

  • Publicación |
    1.    Summary 1.1.    Macroeconomic summary

    In the second quarter, annual inflation (9.67%), the technical staff’s projections and its expectations continued to increase, remaining above the target. International cost shocks, accentuated by Russia…

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  • Publicación |
     1.1 Macroeconomic summary

    Several factors contributed to an increase in projected inflation on the forecast horizon, keeping it above the target rate. These included inflation in December that surpassed expectations (5.62%), indexation to higher inflation rates for various baskets…

  • Publicación |
    1.1 Macroec​onomic summary

    Economic activity has recovered faster than projected, and output is now expected to return to pre-pandemic levels earlier than anticipated. Economic growth projections for 2021 and 2022 have been revised upward, though significant downward bias remains.…

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    1.1 Macroeconomic summary

    The Colombian economy sustained numerous shocks in the second quarter, pri­marily related to costs and supply. The majority of these shocks were unantic­ipated or proved more persistent than expected, interrupting the recovery in economic activity observed…

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    1.1 Macroeconomic summary

    Economic recovery has consistently outperformed the technical staff’s expectations following a steep decline in activity in the second quarter of 2020. At the same time, total and core inflation rates have fallen and remain at low levels, suggesting that a…

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    1.1 Macroeconomic Summary [Pág. 1]

    Overall inflation (1.61%) and core inflation (excluding food and regulated items) (1.11%) both declined…

  • Publicación |
    1.1 Macroeconomic summary [Pág.
  • Publicación |

    Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia) is required by the Constitution to maintain the purchasing power of Colombia’s currency in coordination with general economic policy1. In order to fulfill this mandate, the Central Bank of Colombia’s Board of Directors…