Inflation Report - September 2018

Keep in mind

The Monetary Policy Report presents the Bank's technical staff's analysis of the economy and the inflationary situation and its medium and long-term outlook. Based on it, it makes a recommendation to the Board of Directors on the monetary policy stance. This report is published on the second business day following the Board of Directors' meetings in January, April, July, and October.

AUTHOR OR EDITOR
Office of the Deputy Technical Governor
Vargas-Herrera, Hernando
Office of the Deputy Governor for Monetary Policy and Economic Information
González-Gómez, Andrés
Programming and Inflation Department
Huertas-Campos, Carlos Alfonso
Cobo-Serna, Adolfo León
Caicedo-García, Édgar
Cárdenas-Hurtado, Camilo Alberto
Cote-Barón, Juan Pablo
Galeano-Ramírez, Franky
Martínez-Cortés, Nicolás
Rojas, Carlos Daniel
Pérez-Amaya, Julián Mauricio
Calderón-López, Luis Hernán
López, David Camilo
Gaitan, Celina
Restrepo, Sergio
Parra-Amado, Daniel

In the third quarter of 2018, inflation rose less than expected by analysts and the Central Bank’s technical staff, remaining close to the 3.0% target. Inflation expectations to one and more years increased slightly, ranging between 3.3% and 3.5%. Economic growth in the third quarter is expected to be similar to that recorded in the first half of the year (2.6%), with a greater spare capacity than in 2017.

Boxes

Edgar Caicedo G., Sergio Andrés Malagón P., Andrea Salazar D.

Anderson Grajales-Olarte,José David Pulido