Morales-Zurita, Leonardo Fabio
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- Publicación |As of February 2025, employment continued to grow at an annual rate of 3.9%, primarily driven by rural employment, which grew at a 4.9% rate.This has resulted in a 1.4 percentage point (pp) increase in the employment-to-population rate (EPR) and a 1.8 pp rise for rural areas. As a result, EPRs…
- Entrada de Blog |
Payroll taxes are a key tool for financing public goods and benefits for workers. However, they may also increase labor costs for formal employers, discouraging formal job creation and shifting labor to the informal sector. The magnitude of these negative effects is uncertain and depends on…
- Publicación |“… the costs of informality are higher: workers have limited social protection, businesses are less productive, and the state has reduced capacity to collect taxes and provide public goods. This leads to inefficient allocation of resources, which negatively impacts the country's economic growth.”
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Given the increase in the working-age population, the employment-to-population rate (ER) remained stable in the recent period, standing at 57.5% in the last rolling quarter, with a notable difference between urban areas (59%) and other municipalities and rural areas (55.9%).
- Publicación |A 1% decrease in payroll costs would increase employment in the formal sector by between 0.5% and 0.9%. This implication is specific to the Colombian context, where the minimum wage is binding for a large portion of formal sector workers, making it likely that formal labor demand drives these…
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Los datos de la Gran encuesta integrada de hogares (GEIH) indican que, tras un periodo de contracción a fínales del año 2023, el empleo creció en todos los dominios geográficos. Este comportamiento es explicado, en particular, por el mejor desempeño de la ocupación en las otras cabeceras y el…
- Publicación |Most macroeconomic labor literature on estimating matching functions does not consider spatial spillover effects. However, job search and vacancy-filling processes often involve neighboring locations, as local workers can search for and fill vacancies in nearby labor markets.
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As of November 2022, the Colombian labor market has stabilized. This is due to the heterogeneous dynamics between the urban and rural domains. In the first domain, employment continues to grow, while in the second, there have been contractions in recent months. Job losses in the rural area are…
- Publicación |Approach
At the end of each year, Colombia follows a negotiation protocol that leads to an increase in the minimum wage either by agreement between the parties or, in the absence of such agreement, by government decision. Despite evidence of its adverse effects on the labor market (formal…
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At the end of 2021, the labor market showed signs of a sluggish recovery, at a notably slower pace than economic activity. With seasonally adjusted figures from the household survey, job creation in the national aggregate saw a pause in October and November, due largely to a downturn in…
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The recovery in total employment observed since mid-2020 came to a halt in the early months of 2020, largely because of the waves of Covid-19 contagion, which involved self-care responses on the part of individuals, as well the implementation of isolation measures in several cities to lessen…
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After being stagnant for the first half of the year, employment grew again in July and August. This upturn in employment has been particularly marked in the intermediate municipalities and rural areas. Going by segments of national employment, non-wage employment—which had slowed down in…
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