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During the first semester of the year, a weak global demand, a fall of export prices in some countries and a low investment dynamic led to reduced growth forecasts for most Latin American and the Caribbean economies. In contrast, the Colombian economy shows signs of soundness, and growth in 2014 is…
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Presentación del Informe de Política Monetaria realizada en Bogotá, a cargo de José Darío Uribe.
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OBJECTIVESMonetary policy in Colombia is based on inflation targeting, which is intended primarily to keep inflation low and to ensure stable growth in output near its long-term trend. Accordingly, the objectives of monetary policy combine the goal of price stability with maximum sustainable growth…
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Abstract
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The history of economic recessions has shown that every deep downturn has been accompanied by disruptions in the financial sector. Paradoxically, up until the financial world crisis of 2007–2009, little attention was given to macroeconomic and financial interdependence. In this paper, a study is…
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This paper analyses the effectiveness of official interventions of the Colombian Central Bank in the foreign exchange market over the period of June 2008–December 2013. The estimation procedure suggested by Hansen (2000) is used to estimate a threshold model for the spot exchange rate that splits…
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This paper studies the allocation of the functions and responsibilities of prudential supervision on public authorities, including the central bank. In particular, it is argued that there are interdependencies in the design of institutions; political decisions on the supervisory structure are not…
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Abstract
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Central banks in G7 countries shifted to unconventional policy measures in the aftermath of the Financial Crisis, when faced with economic slack, financial instability and fiscal trouble. This shift ended a spell of rules-based time consistent monetary policy that started in the mid-1980s. I argue…
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Presentación realizada durante el seminario de la revista Ensayos sobre Política Económica (ESPE) "Crecimiento desbalanceado, transformaciones estructurales y difusión tecnológica" del Banco de la República en el Auditorio del Museo de Arte del Banco de la República en Bogotá.
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Presented during the Seminar "Crecimiento desbalanceado, transformaciones estructurales y difusión tecnológica" of ESPE Jorunal.
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Presentación realizada durante el seminario de la revista Ensayos sobre Política Económica (ESPE) "Crecimiento desbalanceado, transformaciones estructurales y difusión tecnológica" del Banco de la República en el Auditorio del Museo de Arte del Banco de la República en Bogotá.
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Presentación realizada durante el seminario de la revista Ensayos sobre Política Económica (ESPE) "Crecimiento desbalanceado, transformaciones estructurales y difusión tecnológica" del Banco de la República en el Auditorio del Museo de Arte del Banco de la República en Bogotá.
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Presentación realizada durante el seminario de la revista Ensayos sobre Política Económica (ESPE) "Crecimiento desbalanceado, transformaciones estructurales y difusión tecnológica" del Banco de la República en el Auditorio del Museo de Arte del Banco de la República en Bogotá.
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Presentación realizada durante el seminario de la revista Ensayos sobre Política Económica (ESPE) "Crecimiento desbalanceado, transformaciones estructurales y difusión tecnológica" del Banco de la República en el Auditorio del Museo de Arte del Banco de la República en Bogotá.
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From this edition, the Financial Stability Report will have fewer pages with some changes in its structure. The purpose of this change is to present the most relevant facts of the financial system and their implications on the financial stability. This allows displaying the analysis more concisely…
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Colombian industry has stagnated in the last four years, compared to the relatively favorable performance of the country’s economy as a whole.
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The literature on the inflation targeting strategy1 highlights four channels for monetary policy pass-through: inflation expectations, the exchange rate, aggregate demand and credit. It is through these channels that changes in the central bank’s benchmark rate manage to affect…
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Through its benchmark interest rate, Banco de la República is able to influence the behavior of the Colombian economy, and that of variables such as inflation, GDP growth, among others. A significant portion of the impact of monetary policy depends on the distance between the…
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Presentación del Informe de Política Monetaria realizada en Bogotá, a cargo de José Darío Uribe.
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The Inflation Targeting Scheme in Colombia
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For a small open economy that receives external funding and is obliged to adapt to international credit and liquidity conditions, besides being an intensive producer and exporter of commodities (as is the case of Colombia and many other countries in the region), it is very…
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Since July last year and after several quarters of steady declines, the annual change in the consumer price index (CPI) for non-tradables, excluding food and regulated items (NT-EFR), tended to stabilize up to November 2014, then adopted a rising trend that became more…
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The consolidated public sector (SPC by its acronym in Spanish) closed out 2014 with a deficit equal to 1.8% of GDP. However, the target was 1.6% of GDP, according to the Medium Term Fiscal Framework (MFMP by its acronym in Spanish) for that year.
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Presentación del Informe de Política Monetaria realizada en Bogotá, a cargo de José Darío Uribe.
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