Financial Stability Report - First Half 2022

Keep in mind

The main purpose of these documents is to provide semiannual information on the vulnerabilities and risks of the financial system. The views presented and potential errors are the sole responsibility of the authors and their contents do not compromise the Board of Directors of Banco de la República

AUTHOR OR EDITOR
Office of the Deputy Technical Governor Vargas-Herrera, Hernando Office for Monetary Operations and International Investments Cardozo-Ortiz, Pamela Andrea Financial Stability Department Osorio-Rodríguez, Daniel Esteban Liquidity Support and Risk Control Section Cardozo-Alvarado, Nathali Systemic Risk Surveillance Section Cabrera-Rodríguez, Wilmar Alexander Cely, Jorge Chipatecua, Orlando Clavijo, Andres Felipe Gamba-Santamaría, Santiago Gómez-Molina, Andrés Camilo Gualtero, Daniela Meneses-González, María Fernanda Lizarazo-Cuellar, Angélica María Narváez, Alida Piñeros, Hernán Pirateque-Niño, Javier Eliecer Rodríguez-Novoa, Daniela Sánchez-Quinto, Camilo Eduardo Sarmiento-Paipilla, Néstor Miguel Segovia-Baquero, Santiago David

The Report is published every six months, in May and November. This Report is accompanied by other special reports on financial stability published in June and December, which focus on topics of interest in this area.

Publication Date:
Monday, 25 September 2023

The purpose of the Financial Stability Report is to present Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia)'s assessment of the recent performance of credit institutions and their borrowers, as well as the main risks and vulnerabilities that could affect the financial stability of the Colombian economy. The objective is to inform financial market participants and the public and promote public debate on trends and risks affecting the financial system. The results presented here also serve as a tool for Banco de la República to make decisions to promote financial stability in the general context of price stability and macroeconomic stability objectives.

Main messages of the latest Financial Stability Report (key messages)

During the last quarter of 2021 and the first months of 2022, the recovery of lending activity in Colombia was consolidated:

  • Credit accelerated its rate of expansion; 
  • The fall in non-performing loan and at-risk portfolios reflected the improvement in credit quality; 
  • Institutions accelerated lending to businesses and households while maintaining robust capital adequacy and liquidity indicators, thanks to a recovery in profitability and higher growth in equity and deposits.

Non-bank financial institutions recorded lower growth in their own and third-party account portfolios and a fall in their profitability given: 

  • Increased volatility in local markets; 
  • Gradual and anticipated tightening of global financial conditions without a major impact on the system's stability.

The participation of foreign investors in the domestic market for public debt instruments has remained stable.
Vulnerability analysis:

  • Financial institutions are strong.
  • The economy's exposure to sudden changes in global financial conditions has persisted.
  • Rapid acceleration of household lending, especially in the consumer category.
  • The debt ratio to disposable income for households is at a historic high.

Stress Test:

  • Hypothetical adverse scenario of a contraction of the Colombian economy with high inflation, interest rates, and household indebtedness. 
  • The aggregate financial system still has the capacity to absorb additional shocks.

Boxes and shaded section