Financial Stability Report - First Half 2022

AUTHOR OR EDITOR
Office of the Deputy Technical Governor
Vargas-Herrera, Hernando
Office for Monetary Operations and International Investments
Cardozo-Ortiz, Pamela Andrea
Financial Stability Department
Osorio-Rodríguez, Daniel Esteban
Liquidity Support and Risk Control Section
Cardozo-Alvarado, Nathali
Systemic Risk Surveillance Section
Cabrera-Rodríguez, Wilmar Alexander
Cely, Jorge
Chipatecua, Orlando
Clavijo, Andres Felipe
Gamba-Santamaría, Santiago
Gómez-Molina, Andrés Camilo
Gualtero, Daniela
Meneses-González, María Fernanda
Lizarazo-Cuellar, Angélica María
Narváez, Alida
Piñeros, Hernán
Pirateque-Niño, Javier Eliecer
Rodríguez-Novoa, Daniela
Sánchez-Quinto, Camilo Eduardo
Sarmiento-Paipilla, Néstor Miguel
Segovia-Baquero, Santiago David

The Report is published every six months, in May and November. This Report is accompanied by other special reports on financial stability published in June and December, which focus on topics of interest in this area.

Publication Date:
Monday, 25 September 2023

The purpose of the Financial Stability Report is to present Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia)'s assessment of the recent performance of credit institutions and their borrowers, as well as the main risks and vulnerabilities that could affect the financial stability of the Colombian economy. The objective is to inform financial market participants and the public and promote public debate on trends and risks affecting the financial system. The results presented here also serve as a tool for Banco de la República to make decisions to promote financial stability in the general context of price stability and macroeconomic stability objectives.

Main messages of the latest Financial Stability Report (key messages)

During the last quarter of 2021 and the first months of 2022, the recovery of lending activity in Colombia was consolidated:

  • Credit accelerated its rate of expansion; 
  • The fall in non-performing loan and at-risk portfolios reflected the improvement in credit quality; 
  • Institutions accelerated lending to businesses and households while maintaining robust capital adequacy and liquidity indicators, thanks to a recovery in profitability and higher growth in equity and deposits.

Non-bank financial institutions recorded lower growth in their own and third-party account portfolios and a fall in their profitability given: 

  • Increased volatility in local markets; 
  • Gradual and anticipated tightening of global financial conditions without a major impact on the system's stability.

The participation of foreign investors in the domestic market for public debt instruments has remained stable.
Vulnerability analysis:

  • Financial institutions are strong.
  • The economy's exposure to sudden changes in global financial conditions has persisted.
  • Rapid acceleration of household lending, especially in the consumer category.
  • The debt ratio to disposable income for households is at a historic high.

Stress Test:

  • Hypothetical adverse scenario of a contraction of the Colombian economy with high inflation, interest rates, and household indebtedness. 
  • The aggregate financial system still has the capacity to absorb additional shocks.

Boxes and shaded section