Essays on Economic Policy (ESPE in Spanish) - the Effects of Financial Intermediation on Colombian Economic Growth
En la revista Ensayos sobre Política Económica (ESPE) divulgamos los resultados y las propuestas de política que surgen de investigaciones académicas realizadas en el Banco de la República. Cuando nos lea, tenga siempre presente que el contenido de nuestros artículos, así como los análisis y conclusiones que de ellos se derivan, son exclusiva responsabilidad de sus autores. El material divulgado en nuestra revista ESPE no compromete ni representa la opinión del Banco de la República ni la de su Junta Directiva.
Abstract
Countries with highly developed financial systems tend have higher GDP growth rates than those than have not reached this desirable financial stage. Behind this premise there is a complex theoretical structure associated to the effects that financial intermediation have on the economic growth. The Literature on banking crises suggests that these effects may be negative in the short run whereas in the economic growth literature these are positive in the long run. In Colombia, the effects of financial intermediation on growth, evaluated by means of ARDL models, are positive in both the short and long run supporting the hypothesis of economic growth literature, but contradicting the hypothesis of banking crises literature.