OLD Prices, inflation and monetary policy
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- Noticias |Annual headline inflation continued its downward trend during February, standing at 7.7% and exhibiting a cumulative drop of 1.5 percentage points (pp) during the first two months of the year. Likewise, annual inflation, excluding food and regulated items, had a 1.2 pp drop which, coupled with a…
- Noticias |Annual headline inflation continued its downward trend during February, standing at 7.7% and exhibiting a cumulative drop of 1.5 percentage points during the first two months of the year.
- Publicación |Gran parte de la población carece de las herramientas fundamentales para tomar decisiones económicas y financieras adecuadas, lo cual es crucial para mejorar su bienestar y protegerse frente a choques económicos o inflacionarios.
- Publicación |El efecto del fenómeno El Niño sobre los precios minoristas corre a través de su efecto sobre los costos mayoristas, exclusivamente, y no a través de cambios en la estructura del mercado minorista.
- Noticias |By December, annual inflation had dropped for the ninth consecutive month and closed the year at 9.28%, in line with the technical staff’s December projection. Food and goods (excluding food and regulated items) fronted the inflationary decline, standing at 5% and 7.1% by yearend, respectively.…
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Inflation continues to decline but remains well above 3%. It is anticipated to decrease significantly in 2024 and draw closer to the established target in the first half of 2025.
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We study the behaviour of three quantitative sample surveys and a non sample inflation expectation report for Colombia. We found that expectations in Colombia; (i) are not strongly, i.e.
- Noticias |Inflation remains on a downward path, falling for eight consecutive months and reaching 10.15% in November. The decrease in the annual food inflation from 10.36% in October to 8.25% in November substantially contributed to moderating headline inflation. In particular, the significant drop in annual…
- Noticias |Inflation remains on a downward path, falling for eight consecutive months and reaching 10.15% in November. This trend was aided in November by the positive performance of food prices, whose annual inflation stood at 8.25%, falling by more than two percentage points below that recorded in October.…
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This study follows a novel approach proposed by Angelico et al. (2022) using Twitter to measure inflation perception in Colombia in real time. By applying machine learning techniques, we implement two real-time indicators of inflation perception and show …
- Publicación |Abstract
This study follows a novel approach proposed by Angelico et al. (2022) using Twitter to measure inflation perception in Colombia in real time. By applying machine learning techniques, we implement two real-time indicators of inflation perception and show…
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Five Directors voted in favor of this decision, and two voted for a 25 basis-point reduction. In its policy discussion, the Board of Directors considered the following elements:
- Noticias |For September, total headline inflation closed at 11% and core inflation (excluding food and regulated items) at 9.5%. These values are lower than those observed in August yet remain high and well above the target.
- Noticias |In August, headline inflation stood at 0.7%, above that expected by the technical staff and the market analysts (0.5%). Annual headline inflation came in at 11.4% and core inflation (excluding food and regulated items) at 9.9%. Although both inflation measures continued on a downward trajectory,…
- Publicación |Abstract
Based on monthly disaggregated Consumer Price Index (CPI) item series and macroeconomic series, we explore the advantages of forecast inflation from a disaggregated to an aggregated level by aggregating the forecasts. We compare the performance of this approach with the forecast…
- Noticias |In August, headline inflation stood at 0.7%, above the 0.5% expected by the technical staff and market analysts. Headline annual inflation came in at 11.4%, decreasing for the fifth consecutive month, and core inflation (excluding food and regulated items) decreased for the second month, reaching…
- Noticias |Annual inflation in June stood at 12.1%, one percentage point below that recorded in December 2022. The decrease in inflation has slowed the pace of inflation expectations. The survey of economic analysts for July showed that, according to the sample median, inflation expectations for the 12- and…
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As foreseen in the April Report, inflation began to fall in the second quarter of 2023. It is expected to continue declining in the following quarters and return near the 3% target by the end of 2024.