Uncertainty in the Money supply mechanism and interbank markets in Colombia

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The series Working Papers on Economics is published by the Office for Economic Studies at the Banco de la República (Central Bank of Colombia). The works published are provisional, and their authors are fully responsible for the opinions expressed in them, as well as for possible mistakes. The opinions expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.

AUTHOR OR EDITOR
Camilo González, Luisa Silva, Carmiña Vargas, Andrés Velasco

We set a dynamic stochastic model for the interbank daily market forfunds in Colombia. The framework features exogenous reserve requirements and requirement period, competitive trading among heterogeneouscommercial banks, daily open market operations held by the Central Bank(auctions and window facilities), and idiosyncratic demand shocks anduncertainty in the daily auction. Analytical derivations of their decisionmaking process show that banks involvement in the interbank market andopen market operations depend on their individualrequirement constraintand daily liquid assets. Our results do not show a linkage between theuncertainty in the money supply mechanism and activity in the interbankmarket. Equilibrium interest rate for the interbank market is derived,and is shown that it is distorted by uncertainty at the daily auction heldby the monetary authority. Using data for Colombia, we test the mainresults of the model and corroborate the Martingale hypothesis for theinterbank interest rate.

This versión October 29, 2013. This work represents the sole opinions of the authorsand not those of the Board members of the Banco de la República de Colombia.