Blog BanRep: Recent Demographic Changes and Population Aging

Different scenarios are considered, primarily varying in the persistence of the decline in the birth rate. This rate corresponds to the ratio of the number of births in a given year to the population estimated at the end of the previous year.
Publication Date
10:35

Recently, the National Administrative Department of Statistics (DANE in Spanish) published updated vital statistics data for the country, exhibiting a 14.6% decrease in births during the first four months of 2024 compared to the same months in 2023. This decline is more pronounced than the 11% decrease observed throughout 2023 vis-à-vis 2022, or the 7.0% decline seen in 2022 vis-à-vis 2021. Additionally, based on data from Migración Colombia, the Conflict Analysis Resource Center (Centro de Recursos para el Análisis de Conflictos or CERAC in Spanish) has estimated net negative migration of approximately 550,000 people in 2022 and 450,000 in 2023, excluding irregular migration. 

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