The development of methodologies that enable the diagnosis of the current state and trend of economic activity is particularly important to improve the decision-making process in economic policy. This paper proposes a new weekly indicator of economic activity for Colombia, covering the…
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The objective of the study is to evaluate the main determinants of the Colombian gross portfolio inflows and outflows from non-resident and resident investors and to study the role of the interest rate of the domestic monetary policy. The conceptual framework is the standard portfolio…
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Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) models suggest many variables as potential drivers of equilibrium real exchange rates (ERER). This gives rise to model uncertainty issues, as ERER depends and varies, often drastically, on a particular set of chosen variables. We address this…
- Publicación |Abstract Given the importance of climate change and the increase of its severity under extreme weather events, we analyze the main drivers of high food prices in Colombia between 1985 and 2020 focusing on extreme weather shocks like a strong El Niño.We estimate a non-stationary extreme value…
- Publicación |Abstract In this article, we study the impact of exchange rate depreciation and volatility on the sovereignyield curve during the 2008 - 2020 timeframe. We do this by estimating univariate and multivariatetime series models and a threshold vector autoregressive model.
- Publicación |Abstract The availability of measures of regional economic activity in a timely manner has become a priority, especially for evaluating the economic shocks provoked by the Covid-19 pandemic. In this study, we developed a monthly coincident indicator of economic activity for the Colombian…
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The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.
- Publicación |
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.
- Publicación |
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the authors and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors
- Publicación |
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the authors and do not commit Banco de la Republica or its Board of Directors.
- Publicación |
Abstract
- Publicación |
Abstract
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Abstract
- Publicación |
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the authors and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.
- Publicación |
Las opiniones contenidas en el presente documento son responsabilidad exclusiva de los autores y no comprometen al Banco de la República ni a su Junta Directiva. Los autores son los únicos responsables por errores de contenido.
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Due to high import dependency, China's domestic soybean market became unstable and soybean production was lingering and declining. It would be better to know the correlation between international and China's domestic soybean market for policy-making and production decision. This study used data…
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We test current account sustainability based on the framework developed by Hakkio and Rush [1991] and Husted [1992] using a two-regime threshold vector error correction model. This methodology allows us to characterize short-run nonlinearities in the current account. We estimate the model for…
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In this study we construct volatility spillover indexes for some of the major stock market indexes in the world. We use a DCC-GARCH framework for modelling the multivariate relationships of volatility among markets. Extending the framework of Diebold and Yilmaz [2012] we compute spillover…
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In this paper we provide evidence that ECB's asset purchase programmes spill over into CESEE countries contributing to easing their financial conditions, both in the short- and in the long-term through different transmission channels. In the short run, a selected number of financial variables in…